Tom's Bookmarks
Latest bookmarks (page 18 of 36)
"The chance that each candidate will win the general election IF he or she wins the party nomination. Calculated by dividing each candidate's general election odds by nomination odds. Averages all markets: Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, and Polymarket.
... CAVEAT: While these numbers generally show how "electable" a candidate is, an exception is when a party's nomination pick depends on how strong its position is that year. Perhaps a party is more likely to pick Candidate A in a year when the party is popular. In that case, the odds on this page would suggest not that Candidate A is electable, but rather that he or she will be picked in an "electable" year. " Sourced from: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/prediction-markets-suggest-replacing
... CAVEAT: While these numbers generally show how "electable" a candidate is, an exception is when a party's nomination pick depends on how strong its position is that year. Perhaps a party is more likely to pick Candidate A in a year when the party is popular. In that case, the odds on this page would suggest not that Candidate A is electable, but rather that he or she will be picked in an "electable" year. " Sourced from: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/prediction-markets-suggest-replacing
"Biden: I’m not even sure states exist.
Alexander: You’re . . . not sure states exist? Biden: The Pledge of Allegiance says that America is “one nation, indivisible.” Taken seriously, we have pledged to regard America as not being composed of parts. It is, like God, a perfectly simple entity, not requiring further explanation. How, then, could it have states? I realize this position may seem strange. But I pledged to believe it, and I am a man of my word."
Alexander: You’re . . . not sure states exist? Biden: The Pledge of Allegiance says that America is “one nation, indivisible.” Taken seriously, we have pledged to regard America as not being composed of parts. It is, like God, a perfectly simple entity, not requiring further explanation. How, then, could it have states? I realize this position may seem strange. But I pledged to believe it, and I am a man of my word."
"Defaults are arguably the most important design decisions you'll ever make as a software developer. Choose good defaults, and users will sing the praises of your software and how easy it is to use. Choose poor defaults, and you'll face down user angst over configuration, and probably a host of tech support calls as well. "
Related to: Threads defaulting fediverse sharing to off and defaulting their Meta Platform (IG, Facebook, Threads) sharing to on and automatically enabling their 'Political Content' filter
Related to: Threads defaulting fediverse sharing to off and defaulting their Meta Platform (IG, Facebook, Threads) sharing to on and automatically enabling their 'Political Content' filter
"In this tutorial, we will build a small federated server that can only accept follow requests. Despite its simplicity, it will cover the key features of the ActivityPub protocol and the Fedify framework, such as actors, sending and receiving activities, and the inbox."
Fedify is an ActivityPub server framework/TypeScript library for building federated server apps powered by ActivityPub
Fedify is an ActivityPub server framework/TypeScript library for building federated server apps powered by ActivityPub
"Welcome to the Neglected Books page, edited and mostly written by Brad Bigelow. Here you’ll find articles and lists with thousands of books that have been neglected, overlooked, forgotten, or stranded by changing tides in critical or popular taste."